# innov8.ag — Market Insights Full Data Reference

Generated: 2026-02-27T19:30:27.938Z
URL: https://www.innov8.ag/market-insights

This document contains the complete data reference for the innov8.ag Market Insights dashboard,
including all tracked regions, production statistics, import volumes, methodology, and sources.

## Overview

innov8.ag tracks harvest timing and supply overlap across 28 specialty crop growing regions
(16 blueberry, 12 cherry) spanning the US, Peru, Mexico, Chile, and British Columbia.
The dashboard uses growing degree day (GDD) models to predict phenological timing,
chill accumulation to validate dormancy requirements, and a supply-weighted Overlap Pressure
Index (OPI) to quantify market compression risk. Data updates daily.

## Blueberry Regions (16 total)

  - La Libertad (Trujillo), Peru [bb-pe-trujillo]
    Lat/Lon: -8.41, -78.75
    Harvest: Aug–Nov (months 8-11)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Southern
    Dormancy End Month: 8
    Varieties: Biloxi (SHB, chill: 150 hrs); Ventura (SHB, chill: 150 hrs)

  - Lambayeque (Olmos), Peru [bb-pe-olmos]
    Lat/Lon: -5.98, -79.74
    Harvest: Jul–Nov (months 7-11)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Southern
    Dormancy End Month: 8
    Varieties: Biloxi (SHB, chill: 150 hrs); Ventura (SHB, chill: 150 hrs)

  - Jalisco, Mexico [bb-mx-jalisco]
    Lat/Lon: 20.63, -103.07
    Harvest: Oct–Mar (months 10-3)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 1
    Varieties: Biloxi (SHB, chill: 150 hrs); Spring High (SHB, chill: 200 hrs)

  - San Quintín, Mexico [bb-mx-baja]
    Lat/Lon: 30.53, -115.93
    Harvest: Apr–Jul (months 4-7)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 1
    Varieties: Biloxi (SHB, chill: 150 hrs); Spring High (SHB, chill: 200 hrs)

  - Central, FL [bb-fl-gainesville]
    Lat/Lon: 29.65, -82.32
    Harvest: Mar–May (months 3-5)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 1
    Varieties: Emerald (SHB, chill: 250 hrs); Jewel (SHB, chill: 250 hrs)

  - Southeast, GA [bb-ga-alma]
    Lat/Lon: 31.54, -82.46
    Harvest: Apr–Jun (months 4-6)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 1
    Varieties: Star (SHB, chill: 400 hrs); Farthing (SHB, chill: 300 hrs)

  - Bladen County, NC [bb-nc-bladen]
    Lat/Lon: 34.62, -78.6
    Harvest: May–Jul (months 5-7)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 1
    Varieties: Star (SHB, chill: 400 hrs); Farthing (SHB, chill: 300 hrs)

  - Bakersfield, CA [bb-ca-bakersfield]
    Lat/Lon: 35.37, -119.02
    Harvest: Apr–Jun (months 4-6)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 1
    Varieties: Emerald (SHB, chill: 250 hrs)

  - Watsonville, CA [bb-ca-watsonville]
    Lat/Lon: 36.91, -121.77
    Harvest: Apr–Jul (months 4-7)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 1
    Varieties: Emerald (SHB, chill: 250 hrs); Draper (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs)

  - Corning, CA [bb-ca-corning]
    Lat/Lon: 39.93, -122.18
    Harvest: May–Jul (months 5-7)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 2
    Varieties: Draper (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs); Aurora (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs)

  - Hammonton, NJ [bb-nj-hammonton]
    Lat/Lon: 39.64, -74.8
    Harvest: Jun–Aug (months 6-8)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 2
    Varieties: Duke (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs); Bluecrop (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs)

  - SW (Van Buren), MI [bb-mi-grandjunction]
    Lat/Lon: 42.38, -86.06
    Harvest: Jul–Sep (months 7-9)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 3
    Varieties: Bluecrop (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs); Elliott (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs)

  - Traverse City, MI [bb-mi-traversecity]
    Lat/Lon: 44.76, -85.62
    Harvest: Jul–Sep (months 7-9)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 3
    Varieties: Bluecrop (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs); Jersey (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs)

  - Willamette Valley, OR [bb-or-salem]
    Lat/Lon: 44.94, -123.03
    Harvest: Jun–Sep (months 6-9)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 2
    Varieties: Duke (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs); Bluecrop (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs); Elliott (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs)

  - Skagit Valley, WA [bb-wa-mtvernon]
    Lat/Lon: 48.42, -122.33
    Harvest: Jul–Oct (months 7-10)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 2
    Varieties: Duke (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs); Draper (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs); Last Call (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs)

  - Prosser, WA [bb-wa-prosser]
    Lat/Lon: 46.21, -119.77
    Harvest: Jul–Oct (months 7-10)
    GDD Base: 45°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 2
    Varieties: Bluecrop (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs); Elliott (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs); Last Call (NHB, chill: 1000 hrs)

## Cherry Regions (11 total)

  - Stockton, CA [ch-ca-stockton]
    Lat/Lon: 37.96, -121.29
    Harvest: May–Jun (months 5-6)
    GDD Base: 40°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 1
    Varieties: Bing (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Brooks (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs)

  - Hollister, CA [ch-ca-hollister]
    Lat/Lon: 36.85, -121.4
    Harvest: May–Jun (months 5-6)
    GDD Base: 40°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 1
    Varieties: Bing (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Brooks (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs)

  - The Dalles, OR [ch-or-thedalles]
    Lat/Lon: 45.6, -121.18
    Harvest: Jun–Jul (months 6-7)
    GDD Base: 40°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 2
    Varieties: Bing (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Rainier (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Sweetheart (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs)

  - Yakima, WA [ch-wa-yakima]
    Lat/Lon: 46.6, -120.51
    Harvest: Jun–Jul (months 6-7)
    GDD Base: 40°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 2
    Varieties: Bing (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Rainier (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Sweetheart (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs)

  - Columbia Basin, WA [ch-wa-columbia]
    Lat/Lon: 46.75, -119.9
    Harvest: Jun–Jul (months 6-7)
    GDD Base: 40°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 2
    Varieties: Bing (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Rainier (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Chelan (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs)

  - Wenatchee, WA [ch-wa-wenatchee]
    Lat/Lon: 47.42, -120.31
    Harvest: Jun–Aug (months 6-8)
    GDD Base: 40°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 2
    Varieties: Bing (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Rainier (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Sweetheart (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs)

  - Chelan, WA [ch-wa-chelan]
    Lat/Lon: 47.84, -120.02
    Harvest: Jun–Aug (months 6-8)
    GDD Base: 40°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 2
    Varieties: Bing (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Rainier (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Chelan (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs)

  - Kelowna, BC [ch-bc-kelowna]
    Lat/Lon: 49.88, -119.5
    Harvest: Jul–Aug (months 7-8)
    GDD Base: 40°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 3
    Varieties: Bing (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Lapins (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs); Sweetheart (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs)

  - Okanogan (Oroville/Tonasket), WA [ch-wa-okanogan]
    Lat/Lon: 48.74, -119.44
    Harvest: Jul–Aug (months 7-8)
    GDD Base: 40°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 3
    Varieties: Bing (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Rainier (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Sweetheart (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs)

  - Okanagan (Oliver/Osoyoos), BC [ch-bc-okanagan]
    Lat/Lon: 49.18, -119.55
    Harvest: Jun–Aug (months 6-8)
    GDD Base: 40°F
    Hemisphere: Northern
    Dormancy End Month: 3
    Varieties: Lapins (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs); Sweetheart (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs); Staccato (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs)

  - O'Higgins, Chile [ch-cl-rancagua]
    Lat/Lon: -34.17, -70.74
    Harvest: Nov–Jan (months 11-1)
    GDD Base: 40°F
    Hemisphere: Southern
    Dormancy End Month: 8
    Varieties: Bing (Sweet, chill: 900 hrs); Lapins (Sweet, chill: 800 hrs); Santina (Sweet, chill: 700 hrs)

## US Blueberry Production (USDA NASS 2023)

Total cultivated production: ~560M lbs
Total domestic fresh: ~354M lbs
Fresh/processing split varies by state (99% fresh in FL to 25% fresh in western WA)

State-level fresh production:
  - GA: 84.2M lbs fresh (21.8% of domestic fresh, weight: High)
  - OR: 58.1M lbs fresh (15.0% of domestic fresh, weight: High)
  - CA: 52.0M lbs fresh (13.4% of domestic fresh, weight: Medium)
  - MI: 49.4M lbs fresh (12.8% of domestic fresh, weight: Medium)
  - WA: 42.3M lbs fresh (11.0% of domestic fresh, weight: Medium)
  - NC: 40.2M lbs fresh (10.4% of domestic fresh, weight: Medium)
  - NJ: 38.6M lbs fresh (10.0% of domestic fresh, weight: Medium)
  - FL: 21.8M lbs fresh (5.6% of domestic fresh, weight: Low)

## US Sweet Cherry Production (USDA NASS 2024)

Total production: 360,710 tons (~721M lbs)
Fresh market: 286,440 tons (79%), worth $763.6M (93% of total value)
Processing: 74,270 tons (21%)

State-level fresh production:
  - WA: 329.7M lbs fresh (56.7% of domestic fresh, weight: High)
  - CA: 179.8M lbs fresh (30.9% of domestic fresh, weight: High)
  - OR: 72.5M lbs fresh (12.5% of domestic fresh, weight: Medium)
  - BC: 15.2M lbs fresh (0.0% of domestic fresh, weight: Low)

## Import Volumes and Windows

US fresh blueberry imports 2024: ~684M lbs (roughly equal to domestic fresh production)
Chile cherry exports to US: ~31.6M lbs (3.5% of Chile's total; 90%+ goes to China)

  - Peru (blueberries): 325M lbs, weeks 32-8, peak weeks 38-48. Largest single import origin. Dramatic growth — doubled since 2020. Peak overlaps with late PNW domestic season (Aug-Sep).
  - Mexico (blueberries): 165M lbs, weeks 6-22, peak weeks 10-18. Strategic shift to Feb-May window to avoid Peru overlap. Fills gap between Peru decline and US domestic ramp.
  - Chile (blueberries): 84M lbs, weeks 48-10, peak weeks 50-6. Counter-seasonal. Overlaps with Peru during Dec-Feb. Declining share as Peru grows.
  - Chile (cherries): 31.6M lbs, weeks 46-10, peak weeks 50-4. Counter-seasonal. Chile sends only ~3.5% of cherry exports to US (90%+ to China). Small but fills winter gap.

## Methodology

### Growing Degree Days (GDD)
- Formula: GDD = max(0, (T_max + T_min) / 2 - T_base)
- Blueberry base temperature: 45°F (7.2°C) — per HortScience 2012 (Retamales et al.)
- Cherry base temperature: 40°F (4.4°C) — standard for Prunus avium
- Temperature data: Open-Meteo gridded historical and forecast APIs
- Accumulation period: Jan 1 (Northern Hemisphere) or Jul 1 (Southern Hemisphere) through current date

### Chill Hour Models
- Simple model: hours where temperature is between 32-45°F during dormancy
- Utah model: Richardson et al. 1974 weighted chill units
- Dormancy period: region-specific based on dormancyEndMonth
- Chill targets: variety-specific (150 hrs for tropical SHB to 1000+ hrs for NHB/cherry)
- Fallback targets: Blueberry 800 simple / 900 Utah; Cherry 1000 simple / 1100 Utah

### Overlap Pressure Index (OPI)
- Weekly sum of fresh-market production volume (M lbs) from all regions with active harvest
- Harvest window estimated from GDD-predicted ripening date ± variety-specific window width
- Supply-weighted: accounts for each region's actual fresh production share
- Compared against historical average OPI to assess compression risk

### Phenological Stage Thresholds
Stages: Dormant → Bud Break → Bloom → Fruit Set → Ripening → Harvest
Thresholds are variety-specific GDD accumulations calibrated from:
- MSU Van Buren County data (blueberry, base 42°F/50°F interpolated to 45°F)
- Auburn University SHB studies (Meadowlark, Jewel at base 50°F)
- WSU/OSU extension guidance (cherry)

## Latest Weekly Brief (Week 9, 2026)

Generated: 2026-02-27T19:30:27.579Z

### Blueberry Brief
Regions tracked: 16
OPI risk level: Medium
Peak OPI: 365M lbs at week 26
Historical peak OPI: 365M lbs
Top movers:
  - Watsonville, CA: 32d ahead (17.5M lbs, 4.5% of domestic fresh)
  - Bladen County, NC: 6d behind (40.2M lbs, 10.4% of domestic fresh)
  - Bakersfield, CA: 11d ahead (20.2M lbs, 5.2% of domestic fresh)
  - Southeast, GA: 2d behind (84.2M lbs, 21.8% of domestic fresh)
  - Central, FL: 6d behind (21.8M lbs, 5.6% of domestic fresh)

### Cherry Brief
Regions tracked: 11
OPI risk level: Low
Peak OPI: 557M lbs at week 22
Historical peak OPI: 597M lbs
Top movers:
  - Stockton, CA: 9d ahead (107.9M lbs, 18.5% of domestic fresh)
  - Hollister, CA: 13d ahead (71.9M lbs, 12.4% of domestic fresh)
  - The Dalles, OR: 12d ahead (72.5M lbs, 12.5% of domestic fresh)
  - Yakima, WA: 0d behind (82.4M lbs, 14.2% of domestic fresh)
  - Columbia Basin, WA: 0d behind (33.0M lbs, 5.7% of domestic fresh)


## Solutions & Pricing

innov8.ag offers three solution tiers for specialty crop operations.
More info: https://www.innov8.ag/bundles-pricing

### Harvest Control — $8,495 one-time + $4.75/worker/month
Digital harvest tracking with transparent, self-serve pricing. No annual contract.
Includes:
  - FairPick digital harvest tracking (NTEP-certified scale with thermal printer)
  - FairTrak GPS labor & equipment tracking
  - Labor onboarding & compliance (Harvust-ready)
  - Payroll exports & compliance reporting
  - Multi-year historical data access
  - Market Insights dashboard (free)
Key outcomes: Eliminate payroll disputes, see cost-per-unit by crew and block, up and running in days.

### Harvest Intelligence — Custom pricing (Most Popular)
Market-aware decisions with dedicated support. Custom-quoted based on crop, region, and operation size.
Includes everything in Harvest Control plus:
  - GreenView AI yield forecasting (berries & grapes)
  - METOS weather & microclimate sensors
  - Labor forecast & scheduling tools
  - Dedicated account manager
  - StockTrak inventory tracking & FSMA traceability
Key outcomes: Forecast yield 12 weeks before harvest, market timing intelligence across 28 regions, proactive labor and logistics planning.

### Field Performance Program — By invitation
Comprehensive field intelligence with agronomist partnership. Limited availability each season.
Includes everything in Harvest Intelligence plus:
  - Green Atlas Cartographer LiDAR scanning
  - SoilOptix high-resolution soil mapping
  - Red Ant Agri variable-rate prescriptions
  - Agronomist partnership & seasonal reviews
  - Custom reporting & data integration
Key outcomes: Sub-plant structural intelligence for every block, soil-to-canopy input optimization, equipment-ready prescriptions (GeoJSON/SHP).

### Product Categories

Labor & Harvest: FairPick, FairPick Advanced, FairTrak, MobileClock, QuickPick, StockTrak, TCTrak, TallyTrak, InstaCaliper
Precision Agriculture: Green Atlas (LiDAR), GreenView AI (yield forecasting), METOS (weather), SoilOptix (soil mapping), Swan Systems (irrigation), Red Ant Agri (variable-rate equipment)
Market Intelligence: Market Insights dashboard (28 regions, GDD/OPI/chill), weekly market briefs with audio, crop-specific intelligence pages

Full product details: https://www.innov8.ag/products

## Weekly Market Briefs

innov8.ag publishes weekly market intelligence briefs for blueberries and cherries during the growing
season. Each brief includes narrative analysis of harvest timing, supply overlap, frost risk, and
regional growing conditions, plus an AI-generated audio version.

- Blueberry brief archive: https://www.innov8.ag/market-insights/weekly/blueberries
- Cherry brief archive: https://www.innov8.ag/market-insights/weekly/cherries
- Blueberry RSS feed: https://www.innov8.ag/market-insights/weekly/blueberries/feed.xml
- Cherry RSS feed: https://www.innov8.ag/market-insights/weekly/cherries/feed.xml

## Sources

- USDA NASS — Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts Summary 2023, 2024
- USDA ERS — Fruit and Tree Nut Data
- USDA AMS — Fruit & Vegetable Market News, FOB Shipping Point Prices
- USDA FAS — Peru, Mexico, Chile annual reports (blueberry and cherry)
- International Blueberry Organization (IBO) — production and fresh share data, November 2023
- MSU Extension — Blueberry GDD thresholds and cost of production
- OSU / WSU / UGA / UF Extension — variety profiles, chill requirements, harvest timing
- HortScience 2012 (Retamales et al.) — blueberry base temperature research
- Richardson et al. 1974 — Utah chill model
- Open-Meteo — gridded temperature data (historical archive + 7-day forecast)
- Northwest Cherry Growers Association — industry statistics
- Capital Press — industry reporting

## Contact

innov8.ag — hello@innov8.ag
823 N Crestline St, Spokane, WA 99202
https://www.innov8.ag